The market doesn't

We built a system that doesn't either. Autonomous AI research, alternative data, and institutional-grade risk management — running around the clock.

1.484
Sharpe Ratio
15.75%
Ann. Return
2.342
Sortino
Equity Curve — OOS 2023–2024
+15.75% Annualised  ·  Sharpe 1.484
Ann. Return 15.75%  ·   Monte Carlo Validated  ·   Sharpe 1.484  ·   Sortino 2.342  ·   15 Research Phases  ·   102 Modules  ·   8 AI Models  ·   Walk-forward Validated  ·   Calmar 1.687  ·   Ann. Return 15.75%  ·   Monte Carlo Validated
01
Multi-Layer AI
Eight distinct model classes working in concert — from sequence learning to reinforcement learning — dynamically reweighted as market conditions shift.
Technology →
02
Alternative Data
Beyond price. We process regulatory filings, patent activity, earnings linguistics, and macro flows into quantifiable signals before they appear in prices.
Research →
03
Statistical Rigour
Every signal is independently validated before entering the system. We apply the same statistical standards as institutional research desks.
Performance →
Performance

Out-of-sample.
Walk-forward validated.

CPCV N=6 Deflated Sharpe 1,000-path Monte Carlo Walk-Forward 8 Windows

All metrics computed on unseen data from 2023–2024. Training window: 2018–2022. Results reflect realistic slippage and commission assumptions.

1.484
Sharpe Ratio
vs SPY 0.76
2.342
Sortino Ratio
downside-adjusted
+15.75%
Ann. Return
OOS 2023–2024
9.33%
Max Drawdown
trough to peak
1.687
Calmar Ratio
return / max DD
1.195
Profit Factor
gross P&L ratio
Return Profile
Cumulative Return vs Benchmark OOS 2023–2024
Monthly Returns 24 months
Detailed Metrics
Risk-Adjusted
Sharpe Ratio (OOS)1.484
Sortino Ratio2.342
Calmar Ratio1.687
Max Drawdown9.33%
Monte Carlo 95% CI[0.48 – 2.48]
Ann. Return 95% CI[7.6% – 22.5%]
Trade Statistics
Total Trades (OOS)4,023
Win Rate26.1%
Profit Factor1.195
Best AssetMETA +45.7%
Avg Trade Duration3.2 days
Validation MethodCPCV · DSR
Ensemble Weights
Transformer deep learning
29%
LightGBM gradient boost
28.3%
LSTM deep learning
27.7%
XGBoost gradient boost
15%
Live
Now running on Alpaca.
Live trading started May 2025. $100K starting capital across 10 liquid US equities. Live results published as they accumulate.
$100K
Capital
10
Assets
Daily
Rebalance
<3%
Kill Switch
Market Structure
Market Regime Distribution OOS 2023–2024
Trend Up66.8%
Trend Down22.2%
Volatile7.3%
Mean Revert3.2%
Drawdown Profile OOS
Statistical Confidence
1,000-path
Monte Carlo
bootstrapped.
Sharpe Ratio
0.4895% confidence interval2.48
Annualised Return
7.6%95% confidence interval22.5%
Max Drawdown
5.1%95% confidence interval18.4%
Research

Fifteen phases.
One coherent system.

Each layer adds compounding intelligence. What cannot be replicated is the calibration, the integration, and the signal combinations that emerge over time.

01
Ph. 01–02 Data & Feature Engineering
data_manager
Cached market data pipeline for 20-asset universe. Efficient storage with automatic freshness checking.
feature_engine
68+ technical and microstructure features. Captures market memory, volatility regimes, and hidden structure in price data.
03
Ph. 03–04 Model Suite & Signal Generation
ensemble
Four core models combined via rolling Sharpe attribution. Weights shift automatically as models gain or lose predictive power.
regime_detector
Four-state market classification. Signal blend adjusts per regime — momentum strategies run in trending markets, mean-reversion in ranging ones.
meta_labeling
A secondary filter that learns when to trust the primary signal and when to stay out. Structurally reduces overfitting.
dynamic_weighting
Signals with negative recent Sharpe are automatically disabled. The system self-curates its own signal set over time.
05
Ph. 05–08 Risk & Execution
tail_risk
Stress-tested against five historical crisis scenarios. Tail losses modelled using extreme value theory — not normal distribution assumptions.
correlation_risk
Time-varying correlation model. Automatically reduces leverage when cross-asset correlations spike — a hallmark of crisis periods.
smart_routing
Orders scheduled to minimise market impact. Trade size calibrated to daily volume so the system avoids moving prices against itself.
compliance
Seven pre-trade checks run before every order. Immutable audit trail with complete lineage from signal to fill.
09
Ph. 09–11 Advanced Alpha & Alternative Data
microstructure
Estimates the probability that institutional, informed money is actively trading in an asset. High readings trigger position reduction.
insider_signal
Parses live SEC regulatory filings. Cluster buying by multiple insiders within a short window generates a strong directional signal.
earnings_nlp
Earnings call transcripts scored for linguistic confidence and uncertainty. Management tone often leads price action by days.
tda_features
Applies mathematical topology to price sequences. Detects structural shifts in market behaviour before they become visible in conventional indicators.
13
Ph. 13–15 Self-Improving Intelligence
gene_pool
Discovers new alpha formulae by evolving mathematical expressions over market data. No human specifies what to look for.
auto_researcher
Weekly loop: discover → validate → check for overlap with existing signals → integrate if it genuinely adds new information.
shadow_mode
New system versions run silently alongside production. Statistical test gates live promotion. Automatic rollback on underperformance.
nas_search
Model architecture is evolved, not designed. Each run produces a different neural network — the result cannot be reproduced without running the search.
Technology

A system designed for institutional rigour from the ground up.

Architecture built on peer-reviewed research. Every decision references academic literature. Every component is independently testable and replaceable.

The system grows more intelligent over time — a weekly discovery loop finds, validates, and integrates new signals without human intervention.

Phase 01–04
Intelligence Layer
Eight model classes — temporal, graph-based, probabilistic, and reinforcement learning — combined in a dynamically weighted ensemble that adapts in real time.
Deep LearningGraph Neural NetsRL Agent
Phase 05–08
Risk Engine
Time-varying correlation modelling, extreme value tail risk, factor exposure decomposition, and optimal trade scheduling to minimise market impact.
DCC-GARCHTail RiskSmart Routing
Phase 13–15
Self-Improvement
Genetic programming discovers new signals. Neural architecture search evolves model structure. Weekly validation loop gates everything before it goes live.
Genetic ProgrammingNASAuto-Research
Machine Learning
PyTorchNeural networks
LightGBMGradient boosting
XGBoostTree ensemble
HuggingFaceNLP models
Quantitative
cvxpyOptimisation
scipyStatistical fitting
statsmodelsGARCH · HMM
OptunaHyperparameter search
Infrastructure
Alpaca APILive execution
APSchedulerJob scheduling
SQLAlchemyTrade storage
ParquetData caching
Validation
CPCVPurged cross-val.
Deflated SharpeMulti-test adj.
Monte Carlo1,000-path
Walk-forward8 windows
About

Rigour over speculation.
Always.

Axon Intelligence was built on the principle that genuine alpha is earned through disciplined research — not intuition.

The system emerged from a conviction that institutional-grade quantitative research should be rigorous and statistically validated — regardless of the scale at which it operates.

Every backtest result is walk-forward validated. Every signal is independently tested before entering the system. The architecture is self-improving by design.

Established2025
FocusQuantitative Research & Algorithmic Trading Systems
Architecture15 phases · 102 modules · 8 AI model classes
UniverseUS equities — large-cap and ETFs
StatusLive via Alpaca
ValidationCPCV · Deflated Sharpe · 1,000-path Monte Carlo
DisclaimerResearch only. Not financial advice.
Axon Intelligence

Interested in Axon?

If you're interested in Axon Intelligence, feel free to reach out:

Would love to hear from you!