OverviewResearchPerformanceTechnologyAboutThe market doesn'tWe built a system that doesn't either. Autonomous AI research, alternative data, and institutional-grade risk management — running around the clock.Explore Results →How It WorksMulti-Layer AIEight distinct model classes working in concert — from sequence learning to reinforcement learning — dynamically reweighted as market conditions shift.Alternative DataBeyond price. We process regulatory filings, patent activity, earnings linguistics, and macro flows into quantifiable signals before they appear in prices.Statistical RigourEvery signal is independently validated before entering the system. We apply the same statistical standards as institutional research desks.Out-of-sample. Walk-forward validated.All metrics computed on unseen data from 2023–2024. Training window: 2018–2022. Results reflect realistic slippage and commission assumptions.CPCV N=6Deflated Sharpe1,000-path Monte CarloWalk-Forward 8 WindowsReturn ProfileDetailed MetricsMarket StructureSharpe Ratiovs SPY 0.76Sortino Ratiodownside-adjustedAnn. ReturnOOS 2023–2024Max Drawdowntrough to peakCalmar Ratioreturn / max DDProfit Factorgross P&L ratioCumulative Return vs BenchmarkMonthly Returns24 monthsRisk-AdjustedSharpe Ratio (OOS)Sortino RatioCalmar RatioMax DrawdownMonte Carlo 95% CIAnn. Return 95% CITrade StatisticsTotal Trades (OOS)Win RateProfit FactorBest AssetMETA +45.7%Avg Trade Duration3.2 daysValidation MethodEnsemble Weightsdeep learninggradient boostCapitalAssetsRebalanceKill SwitchMarket Regime DistributionDrawdown ProfileTrend UpTrend DownVolatileMean RevertStatistical Confidence1,000-path Monte Carlo bootstrapped.95% confidence intervalSharpe RatioAnnualised ReturnMax DrawdownNow running on Alpaca.Live trading started May 2025. $100K starting capital across 10 liquid US equities. Live results published as they accumulate.Fifteen phases. One coherent system.Each layer adds compounding intelligence. What cannot be replicated is the calibration, the integration, and the signal combinations that emerge over time.A system designed for institutional rigour from the ground up.Architecture built on peer-reviewed research. Every decision references academic literature. Every component is independently testable and replaceable.The system grows more intelligent over time — a weekly discovery loop finds, validates, and integrates new signals without human intervention.Axon Intelligence was built on the principle that genuine alpha is earned through disciplined research — not intuition.The system emerged from a conviction that institutional-grade quantitative research should be rigorous and statistically validated — regardless of the scale at which it operates.Every backtest result is walk-forward validated. Every signal is independently tested before entering the system. The architecture is self-improving by design.
ÜberblickForschungPerformanceTechnologieÜber unsDer Markt wartetWir haben ein System gebaut, das es auch nicht tut. Autonome KI-Forschung, alternative Daten und institutionelles Risikomanagement — rund um die Uhr.Ergebnisse ansehen →Wie es funktioniertMehrschichtige KIAcht verschiedene Modellklassen arbeiten zusammen — von sequentiellem Lernen bis zu Reinforcement Learning — dynamisch gewichtet nach Marktbedingungen.Alternative DatenÜber Preise hinaus. Wir verarbeiten regulatorische Meldungen, Patentaktivitäten, Sprachanalysen und Makro-Flows zu messbaren Signalen.Statistische StrengeJedes Signal wird unabhängig validiert, bevor es ins System aufgenommen wird. Dieselben statistischen Standards wie institutionelle Research-Desks.Out-of-sample. Walk-forward validiert.Alle Kennzahlen auf ungesehenen Daten 2023–2024 berechnet. Trainingszeitraum: 2018–2022. Ergebnisse berücksichtigen realistische Slippage- und Kommissionsannahmen.CPCV N=6Deflated Sharpe1.000-Pfad Monte CarloWalk-Forward 8 FensterRenditeprofilDetaillierte KennzahlenMarktstrukturSharpe Ratiovs SPY 0,76Sortino RatioAbwärtsrisikobereinigtAnn. RenditeOOS 2023–2024Max. DrawdownTiefpunkt zu HochpunktCalmar RatioRendite / Max DDProfit-FaktorBrutto-G&V-VerhältnisKumulative Rendite vs. BenchmarkMonatliche Renditen24 MonateRisikobereinigtSharpe Ratio (OOS)Sortino RatioCalmar RatioMax. DrawdownMonte Carlo 95% KIAnn. Rendite 95% KIHandelsstatistikGesamtanzahl Trades (OOS)TrefferquoteProfit-FaktorBestes AssetMETA +45,7%Ø Handelsdauer3,2 TageValidierungsmethodeEnsemble-GewichtungDeep LearningGradient BoostingKapitalAssetsRebalancingKill-SwitchMarktregime-VerteilungDrawdown-ProfilAufwärtstrendAbwärtstrendVolatilMean ReversionStatistische Konfidenz1.000 Pfade Monte Carlo bootstrapped.95% KonfidenzintervallSharpe RatioAnnualisierte RenditeMax. DrawdownLäuft jetzt auf Alpaca.Live Trading gestartet Mai 2025. $100K Startkapital in 10 liquiden US-Aktien. Live-Ergebnisse werden veröffentlicht sobald sie vorliegen.Fünfzehn Phasen. Ein kohärentes System.Jede Ebene fügt zusammengesetzte Intelligenz hinzu. Was nicht repliziert werden kann: Kalibrierung, Integration und die Signalkombinationen die sich über Zeit entwickeln.Ein System, das von Grund auf für institutionelle Strenge gebaut wurde.Architektur auf Basis von peer-reviewter Forschung. Jede Entscheidung referenziert akademische Literatur. Jede Komponente ist unabhängig testbar und austauschbar.Das System wird mit der Zeit intelligenter — eine wöchentliche Entdeckungsschleife findet, validiert und integriert neue Signale ohne menschliches Eingreifen.Axon Intelligence wurde auf dem Prinzip gebaut, dass echter Alpha durch disziplinierte Forschung verdient wird — nicht durch Intuition.Das System entstand aus der Überzeugung, dass institutionelle Quantitative-Research-Standards rigoros und statistisch validiert sein sollten — unabhängig vom Maßstab.Jedes Backtest-Ergebnis ist Walk-Forward validiert. Jedes Signal wird unabhängig geprüft. Die Architektur ist von Natur aus selbstverbessernd.
Axon Intelligence
The market doesn't
We built a system that doesn't either. Autonomous AI research, alternative data, and institutional-grade risk management — running around the clock.
1.484
Sharpe Ratio
15.75%
Ann. Return
2.342
Sortino
Equity Curve — OOS 2023–2024
+15.75% Annualised · Sharpe 1.484
Ann. Return 15.75% ·
Monte Carlo Validated ·
Sharpe 1.484 ·
Sortino 2.342 ·
15 Research Phases ·
102 Modules ·
8 AI Models ·
Walk-forward Validated ·
Calmar 1.687 ·
Ann. Return 15.75% ·
Monte Carlo Validated
01
Multi-Layer AI
Eight distinct model classes working in concert — from sequence learning to reinforcement learning — dynamically reweighted as market conditions shift.
Technology →
02
Alternative Data
Beyond price. We process regulatory filings, patent activity, earnings linguistics, and macro flows into quantifiable signals before they appear in prices.
Research →
03
Statistical Rigour
Every signal is independently validated before entering the system. We apply the same statistical standards as institutional research desks.
Performance →
Performance
Out-of-sample. Walk-forward validated.
CPCV N=6Deflated Sharpe1,000-path Monte CarloWalk-Forward 8 Windows
All metrics computed on unseen data from 2023–2024. Training window: 2018–2022. Results reflect realistic slippage and commission assumptions.
1.484
Sharpe Ratio
vs SPY 0.76
2.342
Sortino Ratio
downside-adjusted
+15.75%
Ann. Return
OOS 2023–2024
9.33%
Max Drawdown
trough to peak
1.687
Calmar Ratio
return / max DD
1.195
Profit Factor
gross P&L ratio
Return Profile
Cumulative Return vs BenchmarkOOS 2023–2024
Monthly Returns24 months
Detailed Metrics
Risk-Adjusted
Sharpe Ratio (OOS)1.484
Sortino Ratio2.342
Calmar Ratio1.687
Max Drawdown9.33%
Monte Carlo 95% CI[0.48 – 2.48]
Ann. Return 95% CI[7.6% – 22.5%]
Trade Statistics
Total Trades (OOS)4,023
Win Rate26.1%
Profit Factor1.195
Best AssetMETA +45.7%
Avg Trade Duration3.2 days
Validation MethodCPCV · DSR
Ensemble Weights
Transformerdeep learning
29%
LightGBMgradient boost
28.3%
LSTMdeep learning
27.7%
XGBoostgradient boost
15%
Live
Now running on Alpaca.
Live trading started May 2025. $100K starting capital across 10 liquid US equities. Live results published as they accumulate.
$100K
Capital
10
Assets
Daily
Rebalance
<3%
Kill Switch
Market Structure
Market Regime DistributionOOS 2023–2024
Trend Up66.8%
Trend Down22.2%
Volatile7.3%
Mean Revert3.2%
Drawdown ProfileOOS
Statistical Confidence
1,000-path Monte Carlo bootstrapped.
Sharpe Ratio
0.4895% confidence interval2.48
Annualised Return
7.6%95% confidence interval22.5%
Max Drawdown
5.1%95% confidence interval18.4%
Research
Fifteen phases. One coherent system.
Each layer adds compounding intelligence. What cannot be replicated is the calibration, the integration, and the signal combinations that emerge over time.
01
Ph. 01–02Data & Feature Engineering
data_manager
Cached market data pipeline for 20-asset universe. Efficient storage with automatic freshness checking.
feature_engine
68+ technical and microstructure features. Captures market memory, volatility regimes, and hidden structure in price data.
03
Ph. 03–04Model Suite & Signal Generation
ensemble
Four core models combined via rolling Sharpe attribution. Weights shift automatically as models gain or lose predictive power.
regime_detector
Four-state market classification. Signal blend adjusts per regime — momentum strategies run in trending markets, mean-reversion in ranging ones.
meta_labeling
A secondary filter that learns when to trust the primary signal and when to stay out. Structurally reduces overfitting.
dynamic_weighting
Signals with negative recent Sharpe are automatically disabled. The system self-curates its own signal set over time.
05
Ph. 05–08Risk & Execution
tail_risk
Stress-tested against five historical crisis scenarios. Tail losses modelled using extreme value theory — not normal distribution assumptions.
correlation_risk
Time-varying correlation model. Automatically reduces leverage when cross-asset correlations spike — a hallmark of crisis periods.
smart_routing
Orders scheduled to minimise market impact. Trade size calibrated to daily volume so the system avoids moving prices against itself.
compliance
Seven pre-trade checks run before every order. Immutable audit trail with complete lineage from signal to fill.
09
Ph. 09–11Advanced Alpha & Alternative Data
microstructure
Estimates the probability that institutional, informed money is actively trading in an asset. High readings trigger position reduction.
insider_signal
Parses live SEC regulatory filings. Cluster buying by multiple insiders within a short window generates a strong directional signal.
earnings_nlp
Earnings call transcripts scored for linguistic confidence and uncertainty. Management tone often leads price action by days.
tda_features
Applies mathematical topology to price sequences. Detects structural shifts in market behaviour before they become visible in conventional indicators.
13
Ph. 13–15Self-Improving Intelligence
gene_pool
Discovers new alpha formulae by evolving mathematical expressions over market data. No human specifies what to look for.
auto_researcher
Weekly loop: discover → validate → check for overlap with existing signals → integrate if it genuinely adds new information.
shadow_mode
New system versions run silently alongside production. Statistical test gates live promotion. Automatic rollback on underperformance.
nas_search
Model architecture is evolved, not designed. Each run produces a different neural network — the result cannot be reproduced without running the search.
Technology
A system designed for institutional rigour from the ground up.
Architecture built on peer-reviewed research. Every decision references academic literature. Every component is independently testable and replaceable.
The system grows more intelligent over time — a weekly discovery loop finds, validates, and integrates new signals without human intervention.
Phase 01–04
Intelligence Layer
Eight model classes — temporal, graph-based, probabilistic, and reinforcement learning — combined in a dynamically weighted ensemble that adapts in real time.
Deep LearningGraph Neural NetsRL Agent
Phase 05–08
Risk Engine
Time-varying correlation modelling, extreme value tail risk, factor exposure decomposition, and optimal trade scheduling to minimise market impact.
DCC-GARCHTail RiskSmart Routing
Phase 13–15
Self-Improvement
Genetic programming discovers new signals. Neural architecture search evolves model structure. Weekly validation loop gates everything before it goes live.
Genetic ProgrammingNASAuto-Research
Machine Learning
PyTorchNeural networks
LightGBMGradient boosting
XGBoostTree ensemble
HuggingFaceNLP models
Quantitative
cvxpyOptimisation
scipyStatistical fitting
statsmodelsGARCH · HMM
OptunaHyperparameter search
Infrastructure
Alpaca APILive execution
APSchedulerJob scheduling
SQLAlchemyTrade storage
ParquetData caching
Validation
CPCVPurged cross-val.
Deflated SharpeMulti-test adj.
Monte Carlo1,000-path
Walk-forward8 windows
About
Rigour over speculation. Always.
Axon Intelligence was built on the principle that genuine alpha is earned through disciplined research — not intuition.
The system emerged from a conviction that institutional-grade quantitative research should be rigorous and statistically validated — regardless of the scale at which it operates.
Every backtest result is walk-forward validated. Every signal is independently tested before entering the system. The architecture is self-improving by design.
Established2025
FocusQuantitative Research & Algorithmic Trading Systems
Architecture15 phases · 102 modules · 8 AI model classes
UniverseUS equities — large-cap and ETFs
StatusLive via Alpaca
ValidationCPCV · Deflated Sharpe · 1,000-path Monte Carlo
DisclaimerResearch only. Not financial advice.
Axon Intelligence
Interested in Axon?
If you're interested in Axon Intelligence, feel free to reach out: fabio.juranek@bhakwien13.at Would love to hear from you!